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2024-12-14 10:11:27

Figure iiMy prediction yesterday was wrong: there will be a compensatory decline trend in the A-share market tomorrow, and we can observe the support level around 3380 points. If this position is supported, the market will be a slow decline trend, and if it is not, it will be a rapid decline trend.Today's A-shares fluctuated within a narrow range, and the main force took measures to stabilize the market and ease the anxiety caused by yesterday's high opening and low going. Even Hong Kong stocks, one of the three sisters, were too busy to take care of, and the market closed again, which drama will A-shares sing tomorrow? Let me talk about a few personal views.


After 2 pm, the A50 futures index began to rebound, and the A-share market also rebounded immediately. If we look closely, the A50 futures index rose sharply the day before yesterday, and there was no heavy volume. Yesterday's sharp drop released a huge amount, which shows that these overseas indexes are still quite satisfactory. Unlimited increase and volume decrease are clearly ship pulled, and A shares are no exception.Second, judging from the technical analysis, the short-term A-share market has peaked, that is to say, 3494 points yesterday was the recent high point.


This chart reflects the three high positions of A-shares since they peaked on October 8th, November 8th and December 10th. Combined with the volume pile shown in Figure 1, it is clear at a glance that the real big market is that the volume pile is bigger than one, but now it is smaller than one, which fully shows that the market after October 8th is a trend of creating long traps and attracting more, and now it has been twice.The simplest and most direct reason for doing this is to spread out the high-priced chips at a high level. In fact, the main force has been doing this all the time. Since 924, the main capital of A shares has flowed out of the market by more than 2 trillion yuan. Who has taken these chips? According to relevant data, over 10 million new retail investors have entered the market during this period. Judging from the current trading volume, although the number of retail investors has decreased, there are still retail investors' funds coming into the market. How many retail investors have taken over yesterday's trading volume?It may also be that the forecast is too early. For today's trend, I ignored the will of the main capital to attract more. If we make a quick correction today, the A-share market may be difficult to do at the end of the year. Therefore, the main capital repeated the trend of double 11 today, and we cannot ignore the determination of the main capital to attract more shipments.

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